Patricknovak

0x12e2ba...c936b0
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
29.2%
Total P&L
-$8.6K
Trade Count
165
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Sortino Ratio
16.48
Max Drawdown
409.3%
ROI
-19.8%
Profit Factor
0.59
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
019.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Men's Final - Canada vs. USABUY53.1¢1,884.091Feb 22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY87.0¢114.943Feb 21
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY47.0¢212.766Feb 11
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY1.1¢1,811.615Feb 11
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY2.4¢822.866Feb 11
Devils vs. SenatorsBUY15.0¢10Jan 31
Devils vs. SenatorsBUY15.0¢20Jan 31
Devils vs. SenatorsBUY15.0¢70Jan 31
Kraken vs. Golden KnightsBUY64.0¢156.25Jan 31
Maple Leafs vs. CanucksBUY46.7¢214.255Jan 31
Canadiens vs. SabresBUY54.0¢185.185Jan 31
Sharks vs. FlamesBUY50.0¢5.21Jan 31
Sharks vs. FlamesBUY50.0¢2Jan 31
Sharks vs. FlamesBUY50.0¢2Jan 31
Sharks vs. FlamesBUY50.0¢2Jan 31
Sharks vs. FlamesBUY50.0¢88.79Jan 31
Wild vs. OilersBUY54.0¢185.185Jan 31
Stars vs. UtahBUY50.0¢200Jan 31
Devils vs. SenatorsBUY40.0¢250Jan 31
Jets vs. PanthersBUY55.0¢363.636Jan 31
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%29%10–20%11%20–30%21%30–50%17%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity165 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$21,2285d profit52d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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