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penize

penize

0x02306d...1645b2
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
29.2%
Total P&L
-$246
Trade Count
31
Sharpe Ratio
-1.46
Sortino Ratio
-2.20
Max Drawdown
1260.0%
ROI
-19.9%
Profit Factor
0.31
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY30.5¢131.256Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSELL99.1¢70.92Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY23.0¢21.739Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY49.9¢50.14Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL2.1¢1,782.2Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?BUY7.7¢1,305.267Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.8¢1,782.208Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢307.69Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY51.0¢25.804Mar 1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?BUY30.1¢16.595Mar 1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY27.0¢18.519Mar 1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?BUY26.1¢19.145Mar 1
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?BUY10.0¢60Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY57.0¢70.132Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL46.0¢72.5Mar 1
Will "DOJ" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)BUY64.1¢26.415Feb 10
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢307.692Feb 10
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY7.9¢223.65Jan 20
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY16.8¢89.215Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?BUY10.8¢46.296Jan 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%22%10–20%22%20–30%22%30–50%19%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency25.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity31 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6411d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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