Phil1234

0x6edadb...15db5d

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.6%

Total P&L

-$23

Trade Count

117

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.12

Max Drawdown

156.7%

ROI

-9.7%

Profit Factor

0.19

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	BUY	96.7¢	5.171	Mar 5
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	6.316	Mar 5
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Mar 5
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	BUY	93.6¢	5.342	Mar 5
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	5.682	Mar 5
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?	BUY	98.7¢	5.066	Mar 5
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	22.8¢	21.957	Mar 5
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	12	Mar 5
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	60.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Mar 5
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	5.176	Mar 5
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Mar 5
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	1.027	Mar 5
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	1.027	Mar 5
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	1.025	Mar 5
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	BUY	93.7¢	1.067	Mar 5
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY	96.4¢	1.037	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	1.028	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency62.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity117 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2230d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue