Pholanar

0x86c4b1...328994

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.1%

Total P&L

-$2.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.19

Sortino Ratio

-0.10

Max Drawdown

8.4%

ROI

-12.0%

Profit Factor

0.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	42.871	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	28.084	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	32.064	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	41.123	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	19.038	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	34.663	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	32.966	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	42.886	Feb 16
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	15.06	Feb 16
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Feb 16
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	37.074	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?	BUY	99.7¢	44.04	Sep 15
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?	BUY	99.4¢	48.9	Sep 15
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.9¢	5.3	Sep 15
Will Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.9¢	6.73	Sep 15
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.9¢	6.42	Sep 15
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Sep 15
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	99.8¢	6.32	Sep 15
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	BUY	99.9¢	11	Sep 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency73.0%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity32 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$8970d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue