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PHYSICS66

0x6cb970...1c8e7d
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
85.1%
Total P&L
+$168
Trade Count
223
Sharpe Ratio
-0.99
Sortino Ratio
-0.85
Max Drawdown
705.3%
ROI
9.9%
Profit Factor
2.58
Kelly Fraction
0.521
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢11.628Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢17.241Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢9.77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY50.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢9.77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY49.0¢9.592Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY81.0¢12.346Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY88.0¢11.364Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY90.0¢11.111Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.6¢16.911Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.6¢4.983Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.6¢5.495Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.1¢4.854Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY90.0¢5.556Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.5¢1.015Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.5¢1.015Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?SELL26.0¢8.73Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 4?BUY98.3¢3.784Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY72.0¢5.917Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY72.0¢1.944Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%10%50–70%15%70–80%28%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%
Win Consistency55.3%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity223 trades · 5 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,6951d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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