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Picksell

0x0b9ee3...31154a
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
58.9%
Total P&L
+$821
Trade Count
640
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.06
Max Drawdown
292.0%
ROI
3.2%
Profit Factor
1.39
Kelly Fraction
0.164
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?BUY27.0¢10.01Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY13.0¢20Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY90.0¢111.111Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY47.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?BUY27.0¢7.04Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY12.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY73.0¢136.986Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY37.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?BUY21.0¢0.61Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?BUY21.0¢9.39Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY37.0¢7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY16.0¢2.09Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY16.0¢4.45Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY16.0¢3.46Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY9.7¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 4?BUY62.2¢1.607Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY90.0¢222.222Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY69.0¢43.478Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY43.0¢4.651Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY6.9¢14.493Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%8%10–20%8%20–30%11%30–50%23%50–70%18%70–80%15%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.3%
Win Consistency54.0%
Profit Factor0.58
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity640 trades · 107 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,82118d profit89d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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