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Pinnacle-Verdant

0x1d3d2c...ae4727
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
39.1%
Total P&L
+$9
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
3909.0%
ROI
17.9%
Profit Factor
3.77
Kelly Fraction
0.287
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?BUY99.7¢1.344Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢1.146Mar 5
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.6¢1.225Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.4¢1.341Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.2¢1.11Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢1.119Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?SELL99.4¢1.23Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY99.5¢1.236Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.8¢1.34Feb 28
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.9¢1.345Feb 28
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL97.0¢1.33Feb 28
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY97.1¢1.339Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.4¢1.14Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.5¢1.146Feb 28
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?SELL99.1¢1.22Feb 28
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?BUY99.5¢1.226Feb 28
Will France win Eurovision 2026?SELL96.4¢1.18Feb 28
Will France win Eurovision 2026?BUY96.5¢1.181Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL94.8¢1.41Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY94.9¢1.412Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%8%20–30%17%30–50%17%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.9%
Win Consistency30.4%
Profit Factor0.43
Drawdown Resilience0.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34
Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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