Plebbbs
0x7ff757...1bd747
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
60.0%
Total P&L
-$31
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.15
Max Drawdown
19.4%
ROI
-0.8%
Profit Factor
0.91
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.5/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | SELL | 55.0¢ | 1,338 | Mar 5 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | SELL | 88.0¢ | 149 | Mar 4 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.7¢ | 256.35 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 82.0¢ | 231.55 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 0.75 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 27 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 6 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 200 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 24.3 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 2.6 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 14.67 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 79.3¢ | 720 | Mar 3 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 81.0¢ | 4.68 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 61.6¢ | 70 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 38.0¢ | 13 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 36.0¢ | 15 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 34.0¢ | 72 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 61.0¢ | 30 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 71.6¢ | 10 | Mar 3 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 71.6¢ | 10 | Mar 3 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.5
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.7%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity46 trades · 5 active days
P&L Calendar
$3433d profit2d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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