PLOYMKT1

0x3c43b4...d97501

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.1%

Total P&L

+$182

Trade Count

3,824

Sharpe Ratio

-0.38

Sortino Ratio

-0.85

Max Drawdown

437.5%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.024

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	62.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	37.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	37.6¢	337.2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	64.2¢	25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	68.9¢	50	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	62.6¢	89.3	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	10.8¢	5.92	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	44.7¢	5.92	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	10.8¢	24.444	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	44.7¢	20.045	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	93.0¢	22.85	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	10.8¢	19.61	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	93.0¢	5.143	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	9.8¢	49.99	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	52.5¢	202.03	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	47.6¢	338	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	47.6¢	112	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	46.6¢	450	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	53.3¢	30	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.3%

Win Consistency51.8%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity3,824 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,7342d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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