Plushao12

0x19adbc...c42dbb

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.9%

Total P&L

+$2.7K

Trade Count

1,489

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

42.72

Max Drawdown

4806.5%

ROI

7.9%

Profit Factor

2.46

Kelly Fraction

0.177

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	26.6¢	100	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.8¢	20	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	28.2¢	69.32	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	158.462	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.9¢	60.53	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	12.6¢	18.52	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	71.0¢	35.211	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	33.6¢	92.17	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	7.3¢	82.192	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	42.2¢	35.511	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	7.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	31.0¢	38.33	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	10	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	30	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	17.143	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.5¢	37.037	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	32.9¢	30.395	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.9¢	119.11	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.0%

Win Consistency44.1%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity1,489 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$62611d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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