pmggd

0x302471...778ece
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
57.0%
Total P&L
+$550
Trade Count
1,369
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Sortino Ratio
3.18
Max Drawdown
243.0%
ROI
4.1%
Profit Factor
1.18
Kelly Fraction
0.089
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY73.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY1.0¢94.41Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY53.0¢10Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksSELL99.9¢10.41Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY1.0¢5.59Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY82.0¢13Mar 4
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)SELL99.9¢10.41Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.0¢34Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢34Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY8.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY8.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY15.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY27.0¢6.74Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢1.35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢8.65Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY27.0¢3.26Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY30.0¢10Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%4%10–20%4%20–30%18%30–50%37%50–70%13%70–80%14%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency48.2%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity1,369 trades · 122 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,80520d profit100d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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