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0x52f518...7119da

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.8%

Total P&L

+$77.6K

Trade Count

982

Sharpe Ratio

0.45

Sortino Ratio

3.42

Max Drawdown

1025.4%

ROI

13.6%

Profit Factor

4.16

Kelly Fraction

0.454

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.6¢	11,000.06	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	6,908	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	6,000	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	19.0¢	50	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	19.0¢	5,000	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	15.2¢	13,800.08	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	2,518.2	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	23.0¢	1,281.88	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	7.895	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	39	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	5.87	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	13.51	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6.32	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	13.158	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6.92	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6.55	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6.82	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	10,000	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.6%

Win Consistency62.9%

Profit Factor1.16

Drawdown Resilience0.94

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity982 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$184,50520d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue