pnmdpqomwc

0x563ac3...f2f578

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.9%

Total P&L

-$163

Trade Count

3,065

Sharpe Ratio

0.93

Sortino Ratio

7.02

Max Drawdown

270.0%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.072

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	SELL	6.0¢	2.24	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	BUY	6.0¢	2.24	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	3.0¢	0.63	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	3.1¢	0.64	Mar 5
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	5.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	SELL	91.6¢	6.16	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	5.0¢	4.34	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	5.0¢	4.34	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	91.6¢	6.16	Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	SELL	10.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	BUY	11.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?	SELL	3.1¢	8.5	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	20	Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	SELL	5.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	SELL	81.3¢	20	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?	SELL	5.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat?	SELL	5.0¢	50	Mar 5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	3.8¢	50	Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	SELL	5.6¢	2.09	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%

Win Consistency62.0%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity3,065 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$6094d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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