PnW

0x20e6e1...af95c4

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$30.9K

Trade Count

103

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.82

Max Drawdown

1404.3%

ROI

130.0%

Profit Factor

7.47

Kelly Fraction

0.216

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Megaquake by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	800	Feb 5
Megaquake by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	218.68	Feb 5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	2,000	Jan 10
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	1,668	Jan 4
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	40	Jan 4
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	170	Jan 4
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	100	Jan 4
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	21.505	Jan 4
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	1,689.17	Jan 1
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	3,220.14	Jan 1
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	10.26	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	9.739	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	2,260	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	20	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	9.0¢	140	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	8.0¢	110	Dec 30
Megaquake by January 31?	BUY	7.0¢	10	Dec 30
Megaquake by December 31?	BUY	8.0¢	193.75	Dec 15
Megaquake by December 31?	BUY	8.0¢	40	Dec 15

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency23.5%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity101 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

+$6,1251d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue