Poivre

0x714f68...1266d5

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

-$93

Trade Count

1,483

Sharpe Ratio

0.88

Sortino Ratio

2.53

Max Drawdown

19427.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.98

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	19.231	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	57.0¢	73.55	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	91.0¢	13.45	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	17.0¢	250	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	8.962	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	160	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?	SELL	7.2¢	35	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?	BUY	12.8¢	399.969	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	SELL	26.0¢	199.95	Mar 5
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	140	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	17.8¢	20	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	19.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	19.3¢	63.79	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	85.0¢	31.61	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	SELL	70.2¢	85	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.0%

Win Consistency57.8%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity1,483 trades · 87 active days

P&L Calendar

$15,00826d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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