polopilo

0x299cb4...57d85e

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.5%

Total P&L

-$159

Trade Count

3,948

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

7.38

Max Drawdown

4645.5%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?	BUY	99.8¢	173.34	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?	BUY	99.7¢	57.5	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?	BUY	99.6¢	38.71	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	96.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?	BUY	99.4¢	20	Mar 5
Press Briefing Bingo	BUY	99.1¢	3.71	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	17.3¢	8.27	Mar 5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	77.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	17.4¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	17.4¢	10.72	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Meta" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.2¢	9.6	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.1¢	2.98	Mar 4
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	67.497	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	72.8	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	27.2	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	95.2¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	94.3¢	14.68	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	94.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	95.0¢	47.84	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%

Win Consistency33.4%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity3,948 trades · 70 active days

P&L Calendar

$74,6617d profit63d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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