Pompeius

0x6640bd...1a2202

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.5%

Total P&L

+$58.0K

Trade Count

996

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

0.35

Max Drawdown

73.0%

ROI

18.1%

Profit Factor

2.23

Kelly Fraction

0.406

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	20,000	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	1,500	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	70.5¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	1,327.41	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	92.1¢	500	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	500	Mar 3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	91.8¢	500	Mar 3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	79.0¢	2,616.85	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	46.0¢	181.78	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	46.0¢	104.265	Mar 3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	92.5¢	573.5	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	63.8¢	1,136.71	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	55.1¢	203.339	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	47.1¢	179.963	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	47.1¢	31.16	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	50.0¢	146.15	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	63.0¢	433.45	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	63.0¢	8.541	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.6%

Win Consistency64.3%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity996 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$180,3415d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue