popxbt

0x8b36b6...5b9f34@popxbt

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.0%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

772

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.38

Max Drawdown

1088.1%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.023

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	77.4¢	60.94	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	121.898	Mar 5
Pelicans vs. Lakers	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	9.5¢	60.24	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	42.0¢	24.39	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	21.73	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	SELL	61.0¢	18.34	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	83.0¢	14.7	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	30.0¢	80.54	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	68.0¢	14.706	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	33.0¢	33.33	Mar 2
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	8.3¢	60.241	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	BUY	54.5¢	18.349	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	41.0¢	24.39	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	23.8¢	42.08	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	21.739	Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	48.0¢	10.39	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	25.0¢	31.94	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.0%

Win Consistency34.9%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity543 trades · 166 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,34232d profit132d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue