Preballin

0x3e4956...b1ae9d@preballin

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.9%

Total P&L

-$2.2K

Trade Count

3,984

Sharpe Ratio

1.73

Sortino Ratio

28.01

Max Drawdown

133.1%

ROI

-3.9%

Profit Factor

0.82

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	SELL	85.0¢	28	Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	BUY	86.0¢	29.07	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.2¢	44	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.3¢	48.62	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.2¢	26.46	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	1.24	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	13.3¢	120.92	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	SELL	66.0¢	37.31	Mar 5
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	BUY	66.0¢	20.67	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	SELL	33.0¢	77	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY	67.0¢	37.31	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	62.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	19.84	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	37.88	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	48.0¢	1	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	48.0¢	2.04	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	37.88	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	49.9¢	34	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	51.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	51.0¢	12	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.5%

Win Consistency53.7%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity3,984 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0001d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue