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predictfish537

0x16c0d8...a238ac
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
18.3%
Total P&L
+$256
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
3.07
Sortino Ratio
11.64
Max Drawdown
1266.7%
ROI
5.7%
Profit Factor
4.10
Kelly Fraction
0.138
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL93.2¢20Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY93.3¢20Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY13.0¢20Mar 4
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?SELL94.9¢20Mar 4
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?SELL6.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?SELL7.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?SELL91.8¢20Mar 4
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?SELL3.9¢20Mar 4
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?SELL6.0¢20.6Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?SELL5.0¢50Mar 4
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?SELL10.0¢60Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-01 House seat?SELL7.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-01 House seat?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL94.5¢5.36Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-01 House seat?SELL7.0¢50Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-01 House seat?BUY7.0¢50Mar 4
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?BUY8.0¢20Mar 4
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?BUY16.0¢27Mar 4
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL3.4¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%61%< 10%21%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%7%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%
Win Consistency69.0%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$731d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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