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predictgeek

0x21ff16...7f5e2a
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
38.6%
Total P&L
-$58.6K
Trade Count
999
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
12.23
Max Drawdown
882.3%
ROI
-3.7%
Profit Factor
0.23
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.7¢500Mar 3
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.7¢1.12Mar 3
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.7¢9.99Mar 3
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.7¢161.78Mar 3
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.6¢157.39Mar 3
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.6¢495.95Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢2,391Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢2,000Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢96Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢46.1Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢36Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢51Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢74Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢33Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢48Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢68Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢35Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢51Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢72Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.9¢103Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%56%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%34%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.3%
Win Consistency47.7%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity999 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$500,2842d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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