Privatestart

0x8253df...17ddae

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.7%

Total P&L

-$16

Trade Count

202

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

7.18

Max Drawdown

247.9%

ROI

-5.7%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	35.9¢	10.2	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.6¢	38.462	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	27.5¢	3.635	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	9.4¢	10.638	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	25.5¢	3.922	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.6¢	5.682	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	8.6¢	11.628	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	25.641	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	37.037	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	54.4¢	1.838	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Mar 3
Will "Frankenstein" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?	BUY	1.1¢	89.35	Mar 3
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?	BUY	2.5¢	39.653	Mar 3
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?	BUY	5.0¢	19.91	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency35.9%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity202 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$1674d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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