PS13

0x3247c8...084254

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.8%

Total P&L

+$25.7K

Trade Count

2,053

Sharpe Ratio

1.35

Sortino Ratio

17.96

Max Drawdown

166.9%

ROI

140.6%

Profit Factor

4.57

Kelly Fraction

0.186

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	20	Mar 5
Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	20	Mar 5
Will Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	20	Mar 5
Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	25	Mar 5
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	25	Mar 5
Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	121.071	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.2¢	20	Mar 5
Will Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.1¢	96.066	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	40	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	145	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	55	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	200	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	85	Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.8¢	358.889	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	7	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.4¢	1,000	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.8%

Win Consistency55.5%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity2,053 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,7083d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue