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psymon

psymon

0x179d2c...e3e18b
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
32.5%
Total P&L
-$1.1K
Trade Count
571
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
2.59
Max Drawdown
1766.2%
ROI
-5.3%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?BUY27.0¢203.704Mar 5
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" during his next YouTube video?BUY22.0¢1.295Mar 5
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" during his next YouTube video?BUY23.0¢260.87Mar 5
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?BUY73.0¢54.795Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?SELL69.0¢156.25Mar 4
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY56.0¢2.273Mar 4
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY56.0¢11.364Mar 4
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY56.0¢44Mar 4
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY56.0¢2.341Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY57.0¢105.263Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?SELL99.0¢224.13Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY42.1¢118.704Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL44.9¢168.33Mar 3
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" during his next YouTube video?BUY49.5¢101.087Mar 3
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY13.7¢218.901Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY52.0¢192.375Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY64.0¢156.25Mar 3
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?BUY80.0¢9.75Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY41.9¢11.942Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY36.3¢82.746Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%10%10–20%11%20–30%17%30–50%19%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency46.3%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity571 trades · 61 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,05616d profit44d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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