q11

0x31b55a...aa9474

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.0%

Total P&L

+$1.5K

Trade Count

199

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-1.81

Max Drawdown

5445.4%

ROI

12.4%

Profit Factor

3.06

Kelly Fraction

0.074

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?	BUY	17.0¢	280.118	Aug 25
Ukraine election called in 2025?	BUY	22.0¢	126.364	Aug 21
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	17.0¢	120	Aug 21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?	BUY	9.3¢	430.822	Aug 21
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?	BUY	6.8¢	295.958	Jul 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?	SELL	73.0¢	148.23	Jul 24
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?	BUY	30.0¢	66.667	Jul 11
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	0.6¢	8,333.333	Jul 8
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	SELL	0.4¢	5,000	Jul 8
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	0.2¢	5,000	Jul 8
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?	BUY	17.0¢	117.647	Jul 8
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	SELL	3.1¢	5,405.4	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.7¢	5,405.405	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	SELL	3.9¢	21,961.35	Jul 7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?	BUY	16.9¢	148.235	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.9¢	2,564.103	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.3¢	606.061	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.5¢	571.429	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.6¢	554.054	Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	BUY	3.7¢	1,081.081	Jul 7

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%

Win Consistency15.5%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity199 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$7164d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue