qcruz

0x952909...e94443

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.2%

Total P&L

-$245

Trade Count

123

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

1026.7%

ROI

-3.9%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	25.605	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	14.624	Mar 1
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	6.566	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	30.471	Feb 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	39.141	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	91.433	Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	21.631	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	41.325	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	82.573	Feb 10
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	67.665	Jan 30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.1¢	21.641	Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	58.029	Jan 18
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.1¢	7.045	Jan 15
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	2.992	Dec 29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	98.8¢	2.267	Dec 27
Trump out as President in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	82.287	Dec 22
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	27.957	Dec 6
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	63.0¢	365.429	Nov 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	2.3¢	116.957	Oct 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	221.016	Oct 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.2%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity81 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,98517d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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