Qinxue

0x237fbf...2e6daf@alperenBAYRAMO1

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.0%

Total P&L

+$30

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

600.0%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

3.37

Kelly Fraction

0.626

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	91.9¢	119.695	Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	110.607	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	109.389	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	109.218	Feb 10
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	109.068	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	108.848	Jan 31
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	105.422	Jan 27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	94.6¢	1.057	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Jan 21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.013	Jan 13
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	1.019	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	105.21	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	107.797	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	107.668	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	46.7¢	2.998	Jan 9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	BUY	99.5¢	107.559	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	107.107	Dec 31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	107.107	Dec 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.4%

Win Consistency58.9%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity56 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,7480d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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