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Quirinus

Quirinus

0x54949d...f1faac
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
56.6%
Total P&L
+$5.3K
Trade Count
175
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.28
Max Drawdown
2066.2%
ROI
9.9%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.140
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY54.7¢1,828.505Jan 26
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY66.3¢1,508.789Jan 26
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?BUY25.0¢2,000Jan 17
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?BUY92.9¢107.675Jan 17
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY69.7¢143.557Jan 17
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY59.0¢169.492Jan 17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY18.2¢2,754.805Jan 17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY16.3¢3,063.473Jan 17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY34.2¢1,461.901Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY59.0¢169.492Jan 16
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY74.0¢200Jan 12
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY79.2¢505.17Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?BUY31.0¢322.581Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13?BUY66.6¢750.209Jan 11
Will the US strike Iran next?BUY26.3¢379.678Jan 11
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?BUY3.1¢3,226.471Jan 11
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY13.9¢720.614Jan 11
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY21.0¢476.19Jan 11
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?BUY89.2¢560.528Jan 11
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY22.4¢1,342.671Jan 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%22%10–20%11%20–30%8%30–50%8%50–70%45%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.9%
Win Consistency52.8%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity51 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,3190d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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