rafa

0x420b3d...73b9dd

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.0%

Total P&L

+$41

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

409.6%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

6.05

Kelly Fraction

0.726

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	57.0¢	17.544	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	SELL	43.2¢	20.01	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	45.0¢	20.019	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	SELL	77.8¢	58.06	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BUY	89.0¢	26.371	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	23.52	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BUY	89.0¢	13.393	Mar 3
Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in March?	BUY	70.0¢	7.143	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	85.0¢	23.529	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	37.0¢	58.06	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	98.2¢	10	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	83.0¢	40	Feb 27
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	BUY	88.0¢	0.75	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19?	SELL	99.8¢	5	Feb 19
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	BUY	88.0¢	9.25	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19?	BUY	96.9¢	5	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?	BUY	66.0¢	5	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?	SELL	99.9¢	11.09	Feb 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%

Win Consistency54.2%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity38 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1095d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue