rafb

0x99fe40...765705

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.2%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

376

Sharpe Ratio

-0.11

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

214.7%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	5.77	Mar 5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	3.97	Mar 5
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?	BUY	97.3¢	5	Mar 5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	5	Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	5	Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	5	Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	5	Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	5	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	98.2¢	5	Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	5	Mar 4
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	BUY	98.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?	SELL	99.2¢	0.04	Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.5¢	5	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	5	Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	5	Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?	SELL	99.3¢	0.11	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.5%

Win Consistency74.6%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity314 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,1231d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue