0x9d42fc...d68fbb

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

712

Sharpe Ratio

0.62

Sortino Ratio

2.96

Max Drawdown

968.0%

ROI

5.4%

Profit Factor

2.85

Kelly Fraction

0.350

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	57.0¢	32.09	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	56.0¢	17.69	Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	74	Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	26.38	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	22	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	28	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	55.0¢	5.821	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	20	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	10	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	130.32	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	33.9¢	100	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	60	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	43.0¢	25	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	73.0¢	100	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	27.0¢	43.74	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	31.0¢	100	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	16.13	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	27.0¢	7.12	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.8%

Win Consistency56.6%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity704 trades · 91 active days

P&L Calendar

$45042d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue