Ray08

0x34b9bc...b2fc5c

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.0%

Total P&L

+$13

Trade Count

254

Sharpe Ratio

1.90

Sortino Ratio

3.71

Max Drawdown

24.3%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.017

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on March 7?	BUY	88.5¢	5.652	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 6?	BUY	22.9¢	21.813	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	10.417	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	35.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	53.0¢	9.434	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	16.0¢	13.57	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	64.0¢	7.93	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	13.889	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	49.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	41.0¢	11.9	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	25.0¢	14.21	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	64.2¢	7.788	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	BUY	56.0¢	8.929	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.3%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity254 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$5220d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue