RaymondVan

0x56772c...fb2ce9

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.2%

Total P&L

-$10.7K

Trade Count

956

Sharpe Ratio

1.73

Sortino Ratio

7.68

Max Drawdown

1008.5%

ROI

-26.4%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.5¢	500	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.3¢	20	Mar 4
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	92.5¢	38.37	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.4¢	500	Mar 4
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	108	Mar 4
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	81.6¢	262.7	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	17.2¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	17.4	Mar 4
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	80.802	Mar 4
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	31.9	Mar 4
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	128.29	Mar 4
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	44.92	Mar 4
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	156.82	Mar 4
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	85.59	Mar 4
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	80.8	Mar 4
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	94.28	Mar 4
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	92.4¢	54.84	Mar 4
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	237.62	Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%

Win Consistency73.9%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity956 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$5043d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics