rAzOreMbERsTOne

0x4ac7d3...2c8838

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.4%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

532.4%

ROI

6.8%

Profit Factor

1.85

Kelly Fraction

0.099

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.1¢	1.131	Mar 5
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	95.1¢	1.293	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.7¢	1.1	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1.33	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1.333	Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?	SELL	99.5¢	1.16	Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	1.165	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	1.24	Mar 5
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	95.1¢	1.167	Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	94.7¢	1.16	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	1.244	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	94.9¢	1.17	Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.2¢	1.14	Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.3¢	1.15	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?	SELL	99.1¢	1.11	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	1.118	Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	SELL	99.7¢	1.1	Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 4
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	1.15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.5%

Win Consistency39.3%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue