RazvanelMan

0x4e2059...09ccb8

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.5%

Total P&L

+$23.6K

Trade Count

514

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.31

Max Drawdown

63.2%

ROI

61.5%

Profit Factor

16.55

Kelly Fraction

0.221

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	54.0¢	100	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	55.0¢	10	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	23.81	Feb 25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	1,954.95	Feb 10
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	218.857	Feb 9
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	134	Feb 9
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	436.07	Feb 9
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	33.643	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	33.643	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	15	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	15	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	15	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	50.65	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	21.429	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	134	Feb 5
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	1,487.23	Feb 4
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	7.5	Feb 4
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	10	Feb 4
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	50	Feb 4
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	71.47	Feb 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.3%

Win Consistency41.2%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.95

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity514 trades · 72 active days

P&L Calendar

$17,60620d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue