refmut

0x551d18...a814c9

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.8%

Total P&L

+$172

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

36.87

Max Drawdown

198.7%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.020

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	96.0¢	10.417	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	222.848	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.3¢	500	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	3.2¢	1,724.13	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.9¢	1,724.138	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	21.55	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	1.515	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	51.67	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	25.25	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	1.03	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	60.56	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	1.01	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	26.24	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	10.1	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	1.03	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	12.772	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	50	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	5.05	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	32.17	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency49.7%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,2051d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue