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reianzhow

0x3b9271...bfe122
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
72.0%
Total P&L
+$112
Trade Count
648
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
34.11
Max Drawdown
4567.3%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.078
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.4¢38.98Mar 3
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL99.9¢38Mar 3
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.7¢2,097.14Mar 2
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.4¢7Mar 2
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.4¢207Mar 2
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.3¢13.51Mar 2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.9¢13Mar 1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.9¢157Mar 1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.9¢724.09Mar 1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.9¢139.6Mar 1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.9¢15Mar 1
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY96.6¢29.85Mar 1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?BUY98.6¢13Feb 28
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?BUY98.8¢1,760.77Feb 28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY53.0¢9Feb 28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY53.0¢24Feb 28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY52.0¢10.3Feb 28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY52.0¢42.29Feb 28
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.8¢51.31Feb 28
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?SELL99.8¢43Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%13%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%47%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.9%
Win Consistency56.6%
Profit Factor0.83
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity648 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,16914d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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