renyoujiu

0x2214da...04b70e
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
71.0%
Total P&L
+$109
Trade Count
129
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
2.80
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
1.55
Kelly Fraction
0.252
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
056/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY92.0¢14Mar 5
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY12.0¢18.2Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY6.4¢19.1Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 6 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY1.3¢56.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY4.5¢34.5Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win between 110 and 119 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY97.5¢0.18Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY89.7¢24.01Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win between 110 and 119 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY97.5¢113.2Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 3?BUY1.6¢126.25Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 3?BUY98.2¢6.97Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 3?BUY98.2¢122.344Mar 2
Will Pete Chambers win the 2026 Texas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.7¢204.286Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 2?BUY98.3¢0.38Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on March 2?BUY2.5¢136.4Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 2?BUY98.3¢127.647Mar 1
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?BUY97.8¢0.24Feb 28
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?BUY97.8¢124.545Feb 27
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $110 (HIGH) by end of February?BUY1.2¢114.167Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY97.4¢126.538Feb 27
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?BUY0.7¢241.429Feb 27
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.0%
Win Consistency34.4%
Profit Factor1.46
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity129 trades · 64 active days
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P&L Calendar
$11,1440d profit64d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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