Resteban

0x83ded6...a71786

Smart Score

Win Rate

8.0%

Total P&L

-$21

Trade Count

338

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

30.89

Max Drawdown

1083.3%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.99

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.6¢	115.385	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	3.3¢	90.909	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	3,750	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	49.6¢	12.097	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	32.2¢	9.317	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	14.265	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.5¢	68.097	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.4¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	13.636	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	2.3¢	86.957	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.1¢	89.732	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	3.8¢	26.329	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.2%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity219 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$3508d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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