rewardfarmer

0x53bffc...88bc10
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
46.7%
Total P&L
+$8.3K
Trade Count
420
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
3.09
Max Drawdown
567.0%
ROI
22.7%
Profit Factor
1.36
Kelly Fraction
0.125
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
024/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 20?BUY52.0¢2.083Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢513.17Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢500Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢1,000Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢4.51Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢1,191.26Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL13.0¢30.769Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY34.0¢476.98Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY34.0¢363Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY34.0¢12Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY34.0¢12Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY34.0¢11.7Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY35.0¢1,453Feb 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY36.0¢911.04Feb 18
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢2.98Feb 8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢225.73Feb 8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢199.42Feb 8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢371.869Feb 8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢81.35Feb 8
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY67.0¢151.515Feb 8
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%25%10–20%22%20–30%21%30–50%21%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity420 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$35,6503d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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