Rewardingpolestar3

0x343d67...85215d

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.9%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.57

Sortino Ratio

-0.94

Max Drawdown

10333.3%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

77.11

Kelly Fraction

0.877

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.22	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.37	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.14	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.19	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.2¢	1.11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.13	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.49	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.32	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	1.48	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	1.35	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	1.18	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.5¢	1.35	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	1.43	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.21	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	1.28	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	1.22	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.1¢	1.12	Feb 27
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.34	Feb 27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.35	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	1.4	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.8%

Win Consistency59.3%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity32 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$450d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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