RFYHHFRTHD

0x4aa58e...b20de9

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

189

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

512.0%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

2.09

Kelly Fraction

0.419

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	96.4¢	1.037	Mar 5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	1.16	Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	1.14	Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Feb 27
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?	SELL	79.7¢	1.16	Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	94.0¢	1.05	Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?	BUY	85.7¢	1.167	Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Feb 24
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	88.0¢	1.12	Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	81.0¢	1.17	Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Feb 20
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?	SELL	75.0¢	1.33	Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	83.0¢	2.32	Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?	SELL	41.0¢	1.49	Feb 12

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%

Win Consistency49.2%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity189 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$112d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue