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rich333

0x9f18de...9ac735
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
26.7%
Total P&L
-$52
Trade Count
140
Sharpe Ratio
-1.14
Sortino Ratio
-2.07
Max Drawdown
1152.4%
ROI
-1.8%
Profit Factor
0.89
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY4.4¢268.62Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL1.4¢1,303.06Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY4.3¢600Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL1.5¢1,733.47Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY14.0¢295.5Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY12.0¢162Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY13.0¢166.38Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL10.0¢411.08Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY13.0¢169Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY10.0¢411.08Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢725.67Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.7¢70Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.7¢1,660.29Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.5¢302Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL59.0¢3.92Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.9¢2.65Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY1.4¢278.571Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY66.0¢3.924Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL51.0¢5Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.0¢2.651Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%27%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.0%
Win Consistency29.0%
Profit Factor0.03
Drawdown Resilience0.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity140 trades · 34 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2069d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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