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rivianSmith

0x437342...bf15b9
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
84.0%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
27
Sharpe Ratio
-2.18
Sortino Ratio
-1.69
Max Drawdown
67.3%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
28.17
Kelly Fraction
0.810
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 6?BUY99.9¢1.18Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?BUY99.9¢1.15Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?BUY99.2¢1.22Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.16Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.3¢1.35Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.7¢1.23Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.28Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.11Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?BUY99.6¢1.44Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 2?BUY99.7¢1.19Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?BUY99.4¢1.44Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.35Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.12Mar 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?BUY99.9¢1.48Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?BUY99.9¢1.38Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1?BUY99.7¢1.3Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.16Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?BUY99.9¢1.19Feb 27
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?BUY99.7¢1.12Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY99.8¢1.38Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%
Win Consistency48.0%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity27 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$360d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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