rmalone

0x76457c...edf463

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$391

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

-2.10

Sortino Ratio

-1.99

Max Drawdown

4695.5%

ROI

5.8%

Profit Factor

328.79

Kelly Fraction

0.748

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	93	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	3.7¢	173	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	3.7¢	3	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	92	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	3.8¢	11	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	199	Feb 27
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	100	Feb 27
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	100	Feb 12
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	99.5¢	101	Jan 31
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	99	Jan 28
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	99	Jan 27
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.7¢	103	Jan 26
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.8¢	103	Jan 25
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	102	Jan 24
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	102	Jan 22
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.8¢	101	Jan 22
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.9¢	101	Jan 20
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.3¢	102	Jan 20
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.4¢	102	Jan 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Jan 17

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%

Win Consistency7.1%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity102 trades · 70 active days

P&L Calendar

$49332d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue