RoadmanDon

0x94f498...e4ea54
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
11.9%
Total P&L
-$2.4K
Trade Count
3,998
Sharpe Ratio
4.25
Sortino Ratio
33.61
Max Drawdown
105.1%
ROI
-4.7%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.3¢84.86Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY28.9¢11.04Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL45.9¢40.1Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY2.6¢130.64Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY38.5¢37.37Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.5¢57.09Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.1¢60.88Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY31.9¢23.67Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.2¢53.61Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.9¢56.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY30.7¢40.73Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL11.4¢72.46Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY35.1¢43.88Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.1¢79.43Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL13.6¢62.74Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.1¢85.64Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY7.2¢77.85Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.9¢80.48Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.6¢56.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.5¢13.11Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%27%10–20%17%20–30%18%30–50%8%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.8%
Win Consistency64.7%
Profit Factor0.79
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity3,998 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,17015d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics