Roce

0x6f9254...391ea0@Jessyca58
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
86.5%
Total P&L
+$16
Trade Count
92
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Sortino Ratio
-0.07
Max Drawdown
499.3%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.29
Kelly Fraction
0.192
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
017.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢155.155Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY95.2¢152.317Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.0¢3.061Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.0¢146.616Feb 26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY60.0¢2Feb 15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY98.3¢1.526Feb 15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY97.2¢1.029Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢145.145Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY99.8¢148.707Feb 9
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢148.407Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?BUY99.9¢146.486Jan 31
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢146.335Jan 27
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY98.2¢1.629Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?BUY99.7¢145.436Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.507Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.9¢145.145Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?BUY85.0¢1.529Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?BUY99.9¢145.145Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?BUY92.2¢146.393Jan 9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?BUY99.4¢134.809Jan 5
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%
Win Consistency62.2%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity75 trades · 42 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,5180d profit41d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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