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rocl

0x3ba951...939c5b
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
48.8%
Total P&L
-$1.4K
Trade Count
3,064
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Sortino Ratio
1.84
Max Drawdown
320.2%
ROI
-10.7%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?SELL82.0¢10Mar 4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?BUY86.0¢10Mar 4
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?SELL22.0¢4.69Mar 4
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?BUY34.0¢4.69Mar 4
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?SELL16.0¢1.78Mar 4
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?SELL22.0¢20Mar 4
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?SELL21.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 150k and 175k jobs in February?BUY98.4¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?BUY84.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 125k and 150k jobs in February?BUY96.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in February?BUY90.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add at least 175k jobs in February?BUY99.7¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?BUY79.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?BUY32.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?BUY87.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add at least 175k jobs in February?BUY99.7¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 125k and 150k jobs in February?BUY96.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?BUY83.0¢3.22Mar 4
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in February?BUY89.0¢5Mar 4
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?BUY87.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%9%30–50%12%50–70%8%70–80%9%80–90%56%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.3%
Win Consistency68.9%
Profit Factor0.04
Drawdown Resilience0.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity3,064 trades · 23 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,4204d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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