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rodvargast

0x7c058b...480205
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
39.5%
Total P&L
+$5.3K
Trade Count
985
Sharpe Ratio
1.83
Sortino Ratio
12.89
Max Drawdown
1832.5%
ROI
15.6%
Profit Factor
2.55
Kelly Fraction
0.240
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
040.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY5.4¢26.79Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY61.5¢76.76Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY9.8¢100Feb 24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL15.0¢3.09Feb 24
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.2¢193.91Feb 24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL2.2¢55.54Feb 24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?SELL38.5¢19.05Feb 24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL10.8¢424.65Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY12.0¢109Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY12.0¢49.37Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY11.9¢841.63Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢379.06Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢18.682Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢7.141Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢6.259Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢20.659Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢60Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢58.894Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢5.753Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY15.0¢20.471Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%65%< 10%12%10–20%8%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing40.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.8%
Win Consistency63.4%
Profit Factor1.05
Drawdown Resilience0.85
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85
Weekly Sharpe est.0.65
Trading Activity985 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1005d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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