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0x165705...e72828
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
45.2%
Total P&L
+$94
Trade Count
89
Sharpe Ratio
0.74
Sortino Ratio
3.35
Max Drawdown
223.1%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
2.40
Kelly Fraction
0.263
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL99.7¢370.37Mar 4
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY99.9¢370.37Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢384.21Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢384.216Mar 4
USC Trojans vs. Washington HuskiesBUY57.0¢3.509Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico LobosBUY45.0¢4.444Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY55.0¢7.473Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.5¢332.33Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢332.329Mar 4
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL99.7¢335.67Mar 4
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY99.8¢335.671Mar 4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL99.7¢340.33Mar 4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY99.9¢340.34Mar 4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1BUY28.0¢3.571Mar 4
Antalya 2: Alina Charaeva vs Polina KudermetovaBUY35.0¢2.857Mar 4
Antalya 2: Dominika Salkova vs Elina AvanesyanBUY31.0¢3.226Mar 4
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY32.0¢3.125Mar 4
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group CBUY43.0¢4.651Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.4¢393.96Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.5¢393.97Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%3%10–20%5%20–30%23%30–50%20%50–70%15%70–80%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency45.2%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity89 trades · 15 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$352d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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